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    IBM Beats Street; Shares Retreat on Weak Services
  • 18Oct

    IBM won fewer technology services deals than expected in the third quarter, sending its shares 3.7 percent lower, although it announced stronger profits and raised its full-year outlook

    A decline in services and outsourcing contracts signed in the quarter, a key indicator of future revenue growth, prompted some investors to take profits after the shares hit a historic high of $143.04 earlier in the day.

    Many analysts, however, said International Business Machines Corp was still a solid investment in the long term.

    "It's like an eight-cylinder engine. Even if one is weak the others continue very strongly. And they're still going have a strong fourth quarter," said Collins Stewart analyst Louis Miscioscia.

    IBM's quarterly net profit rose to $3.6 billion, or $2.82 a share, compared with $3.2 billion, or $2.40 a share, a year earlier. Analysts on average expected earnings per share of $2.75, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

    It also raised its full-year earnings outlook to "at least $11.40 per share" for the full year, up from its previous forecast of "at least $11.25."

    IBM's services contract signings fell 7 percent to $11 billion in the quarter and outsourcing signings fell 15 percent to less than $6 billion. But IBM also said it won a major services deal with ABN AMRO on October 8, shortly after the quarter closed, a point Miscioscia and other analysts noted.

    "If you give them the benefit of the doubt, if that October 8 thing happened 9 days before, you could say no one would've looked at the numbers funny. But even if you don't include that, everything else was still strong," Miscioscia said.

    He said the shares could still rise to around $160 over the next several months. They had fallen to $137.60 in extended trading, after closing at $142.83.

    HARDWARE STRONG

    The strongest performance in the quarter came from IBM's traditional hardware business. Its "System z" mainframe computer sales rose 15 percent, helped by a new line of products, leading a 3 percent rise in overall revenue.